Nintendo Switch on track to outpace ten-month sales of the Wii by 20%

Xbox One X sales predicted to exceed 600,000 this year, adds industry analyst

The Nintendo Switch is on track to outpace the Wii by 20% over the first ten months of sales, according to NPD analyst Matt Piscatella.

In a discussion on the Resetra forums, Piscatalla said that while the Switch was nothing like the Wii "from a demographic and usage basis", the fact that it's a hybrid means that multiple-console households "could be a thing", making it potentially far bigger than the Wii.

He added that if Nintendo delivers on its teased promise of a Pokémon RPG for the Switch, the console could grow to dominate the market.

"If Pokemon comes next year I can easily see Switch outpacing Wii and taking 40+ share of the hardware market next year," he said,

"But it does depend on if Pokemon is next year or not."

He also suggested that 2017 has been a good year for console and software sales in general, and that the Xbox One X sales could "blow past" 600,000 units for this year "just from making more stock than I thought they would."

According to Piscatella, digital Black Friday sales from Sony and Microsoft have been "phenomenal". However, as Nintendo doesn't share digital sales figures with the NPD, he was unable to offer insight into the its performance.

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Latest comments (2)

Mat Piscatella US Games Industry Analyst, The NPD GroupA year ago
My comment on the Black Friday sales from Sony and Microsoft being "phenomenal" was in reference to the sale prices and promotion available on the digital storefronts, not sales results (which I haven't seen yet and would not comment on even if I had).
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Richard Browne Head of External Projects, Digital ExtremesA year ago
You have to be careful with this I reckon due to launch timing. The Wii launched in November, was most certainly supply strapped, sold through the Nintendo's fiscal and then they turned the supply valve down to push stocks toward Christmas number two. The Switch launched big for the end of Nintendo's fiscal, they also turned the supply down but not for as long and ramped it back up massively in September for Christmas and Mario launch. In essence the Wii ten month period had a much larger restrained supply window than the Switch. What will be interesting to see is whether or not Nintendo has enough stock built up to keep supply through Christmas.
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