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Guillemot: "PlayStation 5 and fourth Xbox to launch 2019 at the earliest"

Ubisoft CEO does not expect new consoles any time soon thanks to launch of PS4 Pro and Xbox One X

The next generation of games consoles is a minimum of two years away, Yves Guillemot predicts.

The CEO of Ubisoft commented on the future of the home console games market during a call to investors following the publisher's latest financial results. GameSpot reports that he believes the mid-generation hardware updates mean new devices won't be launched any time soon.

"As Sony launched PlayStation 4 Pro last year and Microsoft Xbox One X this year, we think we still have a minimum of two years in front of us before something new is coming," Guillemot stated. "But that's our perception, we don't have any confidential information on that front."

If a PlayStation 5 and the fourth iteration of Xbox (we're not going to even attempt to guess at Microsoft's naming convections) were to launch in 2019, it would mark six years since this current generation kicked off.

Historically consoles tended to last around five years, although the previous generation came in at around eight years, starting with the Xbox 360 launch in 2005.

To further drive hardware sales before releasing fully-fledged replacements, Sony and Microsoft have both launched superior mid-generation models in the form of PS4 Pro and Xbox One X, a move many have likened to the smartphone market.

Guillemot is particularly pleased with both platform holders for the move, predicting that they will help maintain hardware sales momentum in the year to come.

"We really like the fact that Sony and Microsoft are really putting more power in their machines, using the evolution of technology to give power to our developers to create better games for our players," he said.

"That is going in the right direction rather than trying to do accessories or other things. That is going to help the industry a lot because the games will be really beautiful on those machines."

His comment about accessories no doubt refers to both Sony and Microsoft's attempts to expand their audience and extend the life of their hardware with PlayStation Move and Microsoft Kinect - two wildly different takes on motion-controlled gaming released as a response to the rise of Nintendo Wii.

While the devices sold moderately well, neither seemed to reignite the market in the way originally pitched, although PlayStation Move is staging a comeback thanks to its applications with PlayStation VR.

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Latest comments (5)

Matthew Kanterman Analyst / Research, Bloomberg News13 days ago
Iterative upgrades like the Xbox One X and PS4 Pro as opposed to entirely new consoles is better for the industry. It will help reduce lumpiness in the hardware cycle and make game sales more predictable.
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Klaus Preisinger Freelance Writing 13 days ago
Who cares how PR names and promotes it? PS5, PS4ProPlus, VplaystationV...

Do we really believe that either Microsoft or Sony will fundamentally change architecture, or redo their operating system and tools at this point? You want to know about the future of Sony and MIcrosoft consoles? Read the AMD roadmap.
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Matthew Kanterman Analyst / Research, Bloomberg News13 days ago
@Klaus Preisinger: Well more in the sense that big generational changes in console cycles have historically caused massive swings in the software market - people stop spending to wait for new consoles. We want to avoid that volatility.
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Klaus Preisinger Freelance Writing 13 days ago
The generational leaps in processing power have traditionally been higher than what to expect from 2019. In the discussion surrounding the difference in power between Xbox One and PS4, Guillemot once said that the difference in power was not enough to prevent a game from existing on either console. Going forward, I predict the same for third party software across generations. A game may look different on PS5 compared to PS4, there may even be differences in world simulation, but essentially, it will be the same game. Preventing people from holding off on software purchases then depends on the willingness to let people transfer the game over to the new console with better graphics for free.

Another lesson learned from the PC maybe? Third party developers cannot promote backwards compatible software. But they can make the case for forward compatible software to avoid being sales-blocked by future consoles.
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Paul Jace Merchandiser 12 days ago
"the fourth iteration of Xbox (we're not going to even attempt to guess at Microsoft's naming convections)"

I don't blame you. I thought this generation's version was going to be called the Xbox 720 but as we all know now I was off by a whole seven hundred and nineteen digits.

As for the next generation, Sony will absolutely launch a PS5. But Microsoft has hinted that they are tired of the traditional console generation as it doesn't yield them very promising returns on the hardware side. They also suggested that Xbox One X is a sign of the future in order for consumers to not have to worry about starting all over with their games and accessories again.

I'm not sure how long they can keep that up but as a strategy for the near/immediate future I like it. I don't even upgrade my tv every 5 or 6 years so I don't want to be upgrading my console that often either. I'm all for them making newer more powerful versions that are completely backwards compatible.

Edited 1 times. Last edit by Paul Jace on 9th November 2017 11:33pm

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